Where the market is wrong on Recoleta v O'Higgins
Recoleta meet O'Higgins in the Copa Chile group stage - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1407 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 39% against 47%. Attacking output favors O'Higgins on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Recoleta arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Curico Unido, L 1-3 v O'Higgins, W 2-1 v Deportes Copiapo, D 1-1 @ Deportes Temuco.
O'Higgins are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ U. Catolica, W 3-1 @ Recoleta, L 0-1 v Palestino, D 2-2 @ Colo Colo.
O'Higgins hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Recoleta 1-3 O'Higgins.
The market prices REC at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Recoleta: a 7.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
