Where the market is wrong on Zorya Luhansk v FC Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk meet FC Kharkiv in the Premier League regular season - 4 at Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Kyiv.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Zorya Luhansk, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors FC Kharkiv on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Zorya Luhansk at 52%; double chance reads Zorya Luhansk or draw 66%, FC Kharkiv or draw 64%.
Zorya Luhansk arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v FC Kharkiv, W 6-0 @ Skala 1911 Stryi, W 2-1 @ Polessya, L 1-3 v Kryvbas KR.
FC Kharkiv are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Zorya Luhansk, W 9-0 @ Kalynivka, L 0-1 v Shakhtar Donetsk, L 1-3 @ Polessya.
Zorya Luhansk hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Zorya Luhansk 0-3 FC Kharkiv.
The market prices ZOR at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on Zorya Luhansk: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
