Ascoli v Potenza: the model read
Ascoli meet Potenza in the Coppa Italia round of 128 at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno.
The baseline ratings are close, 1625 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ascoli, 66% against 53%. Attacking output favors Potenza on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Ascoli at 58%; double chance reads Ascoli or draw 71%, Potenza or draw 59%.
Ascoli arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Carrarese, W 2-1 @ Hellas Verona, L 1-4 @ Genoa, W 3-1 v Potenza.
Potenza are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Cosenza, W 4-1 v Casarano, L 1-3 @ Ascoli, L 0-4 v Juve Stabia.
Ascoli hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ascoli 3-1 Potenza.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
