Where the market is wrong on K. Lierse S.K. v Liège
K. Lierse S.K. meet Liège in the Challenger Pro League regular season - 4 at Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Liège on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
K. Lierse S.K. arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Liège, D 1-1 @ Seraing United, W 2-1 v Patro Eisden, L 0-3 @ Excelsior Virton.
Liège are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ K. Lierse S.K., L 1-2 v Dender, W 3-2 @ KRC Genk II, L 1-2 v Francs Borains.
The market prices K. at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
