Where the market is wrong on Antwerp v St. Truiden
Antwerp meet St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League regular season - 4 at Bosuilstadion, Deurne.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans St. Truiden, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors St. Truiden on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
Antwerp arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v St. Truiden, D 4-4 v Genk, W 3-0 @ Kortrijk, W 2-1 v SK Beveren.
St. Truiden are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Antwerp, L 2-4 @ Omonia Nicosia, W 1-0 v Omonia Nicosia, D 3-3 @ Cercle Brugge.
Antwerp hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Antwerp 1-4 St. Truiden.
The market prices ANT at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on St. Truiden: a 8.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
