Where the market is wrong on Aluminij v Celje
Aluminij meet Celje in the 1. SNL regular season - 2 at Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1509, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Celje, 53% against 36%. Attacking output favors Celje on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Aluminij arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Koper, W 4-2 v Brinje-Grosuplje, W 3-1 @ Radomlje, D 1-1 v Nafta.
Celje are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Brinje-Grosuplje, L 1-2 v Slovan Bratislava, D 1-1 @ Slovan Bratislava, W 3-1 @ Nafta.
The market prices ALU at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 9.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
