ST Johnstone v Kilmarnock: the model read
ST Johnstone meet Kilmarnock in the Premiership regular season - 1 at McDiarmid Park, Perth.
The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans ST Johnstone, 78% against 63%. Attacking output favors ST Johnstone on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.
ST Johnstone arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Heart Of Midlothian, L 0-1 @ ST Mirren, W 4-3 v Kilmarnock, D 1-1 v East Fife.
Kilmarnock are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Dundee Utd, W 3-2 v Ayr Utd, L 1-5 v Celtic, L 3-4 @ ST Johnstone.
ST Johnstone hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ST Johnstone 4-3 Kilmarnock.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
