Where the market is wrong on Kiryat Yam SC v Hapoel Kfar Saba
Kiryat Yam SC meet Hapoel Kfar Saba in the Liga Leumit regular season - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Kiryat Yam SC on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Kiryat Yam SC arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Hapoel Kfar Saba, W 3-1 @ Maccabi Herzliya, W 3-2 v Ironi Modi'in, L 2-4 @ Hapoel Rishon LeZion.
Hapoel Kfar Saba are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Kiryat Yam SC, L 1-2 v Bnei Yehuda, L 2-4 @ Kafr Qasim, W 2-0 v Maccabi Kiryat Gat.
Kiryat Yam SC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kiryat Yam SC 2-0 Hapoel Kfar Saba.
The market prices KIR at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Hapoel Kfar Saba: a 8.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
