Where the market is wrong on Nice v Le Mans
Nice meet Le Mans in the Ligue 1 regular season - 3 at Allianz Riviera, Nice.
Le Mans rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1466. Recent form leans Le Mans, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Le Mans on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Nice arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 0 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Paris FC, D 0-0 v Lorient, D 0-0 @ Hull City, D 0-0 @ Cagliari.
Le Mans are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Rennes, D 2-2 v Stade Brestois 29, L 0-1 v Le Havre, D 0-0 @ Saumur.
Le Mans hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Le Mans 3-2 Nice.
The market prices NIC at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Le Mans: a 18.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
