Where the market is wrong on Rennes v Le Mans
Rennes meet Le Mans in the Ligue 1 regular season - 2 at Roazhon Park, Rennes.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 65%. Attacking output favors Rennes on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Rennes arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Le Mans, D 2-2 v Paris Saint Germain, L 1-2 @ Sunderland, L 2-4 v Brentford.
Le Mans are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Rennes, D 2-2 v Stade Brestois 29, L 0-1 v Le Havre, D 0-0 @ Saumur.
Rennes hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rennes 3-2 Le Mans.
The market prices REN at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on Le Mans: a 27.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
