Where the market is wrong on Clermont Foot v Dijon
Clermont Foot meet Dijon in the Ligue 2 regular season - 3 at Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand.
Dijon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1444. Recent form leans Dijon, 70% against 45%. Attacking output favors Dijon on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Dijon at 61%; double chance reads Clermont Foot or draw 58%, Dijon or draw 73%.
Clermont Foot arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Dijon, L 1-3 @ Saint Etienne, D 0-0 v Reims, D 1-1 v Grenoble.
Dijon are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Clermont Foot, L 0-1 v PAU, D 1-1 @ Montpellier, D 2-2 @ Nancy.
Dijon hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Clermont Foot 1-1 Dijon.
The market prices CLE at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Dijon: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
