Heerenveen v Excelsior: the model read
Heerenveen meet Excelsior in the Eredivisie regular season - 9 at Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen.
The baseline ratings are close, 1613 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Heerenveen, 66% against 57%. Attacking output favors Excelsior on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.2 per match.
Heerenveen arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Willem II, L 0-2 v PEC Zwolle, D 2-2 @ Ajax, W 1-0 v Twente.
Excelsior are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sparta Rotterdam, L 1-2 v PSV Eindhoven, W 4-0 @ Cambuur, W 5-1 @ De Graafschap.
Heerenveen hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Excelsior 1-2 Heerenveen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
