Where the market is wrong on Cambuur v Twente
Cambuur meet Twente in the Eredivisie regular season - 4 at Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1577, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Twente, 61% against 43%. Attacking output favors Twente on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.
Cambuur arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Twente, L 2-5 v Feyenoord, L 1-3 @ Fortuna Sittard, L 0-4 v Excelsior.
Twente are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Cambuur, W 4-1 @ Qarabag, L 0-1 v Qarabag, W 3-1 v PEC Zwolle.
Twente hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cambuur 1-4 Twente.
The market prices CAM at 11% implied. Our number sits apart on Cambuur: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
