Where the market is wrong on AZ Alkmaar v GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar meet GO Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie regular season - 4 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.
The baseline ratings are close, 1637 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AZ Alkmaar, 71% against 55%. Attacking output favors AZ Alkmaar on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.0 per match.
AZ Alkmaar arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 17 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v GO Ahead Eagles, W 2-0 @ Fortuna Sittard, W 4-1 @ Utrecht, W 2-0 v ADO Den Haag.
GO Ahead Eagles are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ AZ Alkmaar, W 3-1 v ADO Den Haag, D 2-2 @ Feyenoord, W 4-1 v Willem II.
AZ Alkmaar hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AZ Alkmaar 5-2 GO Ahead Eagles.
The market prices AZ at 70% implied. Our number sits apart on GO Ahead Eagles: a 16.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
