Where the market is wrong on Dordrecht v Jong AZ
Dordrecht meet Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 5 at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht.
Jong AZ rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1624 to 1408. Recent form leans Jong AZ, 64% against 35%. Attacking output favors Jong AZ on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.5 per match.
Dordrecht arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Jong AZ, L 1-6 @ FC Volendam, L 0-1 v Roda, D 2-2 @ Waalwijk.
Jong AZ are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 6-3 @ Dordrecht, W 2-1 v Jong Utrecht, L 1-2 v MVV, L 1-3 @ Emmen.
Jong AZ hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dordrecht 3-6 Jong AZ.
The market prices DOR at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Jong AZ: a 17.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
