Where the market is wrong on VVV Venlo v Emmen
VVV Venlo meet Emmen in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 4 at Seacon - De Koel, Venlo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors VVV Venlo on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
VVV Venlo arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Emmen, W 2-1 v De Graafschap, W 2-0 @ NAC Breda, L 3-4 v Heracles.
Emmen are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ VVV Venlo, W 3-1 v Jong AZ, W 6-4 @ Jong Ajax, W 1-0 v Roda.
Emmen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: VVV Venlo 4-0 Emmen.
The market prices VVV at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on VVV Venlo: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
