Where the market is wrong on Struga v Bregalnica Štip
Struga meet Bregalnica Štip in the First League regular season - 5.
Bregalnica Štip rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1535. Recent form leans Bregalnica Štip, 75% against 53%. Attacking output favors Bregalnica Štip on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Bregalnica Štip at 57%; double chance reads Struga or draw 60%, Bregalnica Štip or draw 70%.
Struga arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Bregalnica Štip, L 1-2 @ Shkendija, W 1-0 v Vardar Skopje, D 1-1 @ Skopje.
Bregalnica Štip are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Struga, W 3-0 v Bashkimi Kumanovo, L 1-4 @ Shkendija, W 4-0 v Aresimi.
Struga hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Struga 4-0 Bregalnica Štip.
The market prices STR at 64% implied. Our number sits apart on Bregalnica Štip: a 25.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
