Parma v Genoa: the model read
Parma meet Genoa in the Serie A regular season - 5 at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 43%. Attacking output favors Genoa on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Genoa at 50%; double chance reads Parma or draw 67%, Genoa or draw 67%.
Parma arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Juventus, L 0-1 v Cagliari, W 2-0 v Catania, L 0-2 v Sampdoria.
Genoa are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Lazio, L 0-2 v Napoli, W 4-1 v Ascoli, L 0-1 v Deportivo La Coruna.
Parma hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Parma 0-0 Genoa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
