Where the market is wrong on Sassuolo v Torino
Sassuolo meet Torino in the Serie A regular season - 2 at Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Torino, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Sassuolo on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Torino at 52%; double chance reads Sassuolo or draw 64%, Torino or draw 67%.
Sassuolo arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Torino, L 1-2 @ Atalanta, W 3-0 v Cesena, L 2-3 @ FC Augsburg.
Torino are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Sassuolo, L 1-2 v AC Milan, W 1-0 v Carrarese, D 1-1 @ Avellino.
Torino hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sassuolo 2-1 Torino.
The market prices SAS at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Torino: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
