ST Mirren v Dunfermline: the model read
ST Mirren meet Dunfermline in the League Cup group stage at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors ST Mirren on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.2 per match.
ST Mirren arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Motherwell, L 1-5 @ Rangers, W 1-0 v ST Johnstone, W 2-0 @ Falkirk.
Dunfermline are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Raith Rovers, L 0-2 @ Livingston, L 1-2 v Ross County, D 1-1 v Ayr Utd.
ST Mirren hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ST Mirren 0-1 Dunfermline.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
