Philippines v Thailand: the model read
Philippines meet Thailand in the ASEAN Championship group stage - 4 at New Clark City Athletics Stadium, Capas.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Thailand, 73% against 63%. Attacking output favors Philippines on expected goals, 2.1 to 2.1 per match.
Philippines arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Malaysia, L 0-1 v Thailand, W 4-1 @ Laos, L 1-4 v Myanmar.
Thailand are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Vietnam, L 0-2 v Vietnam, L 1-2 v Singapore, W 3-1 @ Singapore.
Thailand hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Philippines 0-1 Thailand.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
