Heerjansdam v Dongen: the model read
Heerjansdam meet Dongen in the Derde Divisie - Relegation Round final.
The baseline ratings are close, 1496 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Heerjansdam on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 87%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Dongen at 50%; double chance reads Heerjansdam or draw 63%, Dongen or draw 64%.
Heerjansdam arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Dongen, D 1-1 @ Dongen, W 5-2 v Valkenswaard, D 3-3 @ Valkenswaard.
Dongen are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ EVV, W 4-0 v Zwaluwen, W 2-1 @ Heerjansdam, D 1-1 v Heerjansdam.
Dongen hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Heerjansdam 1-2 Dongen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
