Where the market is wrong on Šiauliai v Suduva Marijampole
Šiauliai meet Suduva Marijampole in the A Lyga regular season - 29 at Siauliai central stadium, undefined.
Suduva Marijampole rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1698 to 1400. Recent form leans Suduva Marijampole, 79% against 29%. Attacking output favors Suduva Marijampole on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Šiauliai arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Kauno Žalgiris, L 1-2 v Suduva Marijampole, L 0-3 @ TransINVEST Vilnius, W 1-0 v Panevėžys.
Suduva Marijampole are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Šiauliai, W 2-0 v Panevėžys, W 2-0 @ Džiugas Telšiai, W 3-0 @ Banga.
Šiauliai hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Šiauliai 1-2 Suduva Marijampole.
The market prices ŠIA at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Šiauliai: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
