Where the market is wrong on Banga v Kauno Žalgiris
Banga meet Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga regular season - 29 at Gargzdai stadium, Gargzdai.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1573, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 66% against 61%. Attacking output favors Banga on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Banga arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Kauno Žalgiris, D 1-1 @ Hegelmann Litauen, W 3-2 @ FK Zalgiris Vilnius, L 0-3 v Suduva Marijampole.
Kauno Žalgiris are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Banga, W 1-0 v Beşiktaş, L 0-3 @ Beşiktaş, D 1-1 v TransINVEST Vilnius.
Banga hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Banga 0-0 Kauno Žalgiris.
The market prices BAN at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Banga: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
