Estonia v Luxembourg: the model read
Estonia meet Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 30%. Attacking output favors Estonia on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.6 per match.
Estonia arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lithuania, W 1-0 v Faroe Islands, L 0-2 @ Rwanda, D 1-1 @ Kenya.
Luxembourg are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Albania, L 0-1 v Italy, W 3-0 v Malta, W 2-0 @ Malta.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
