Where the market is wrong on Haukar v Dalvík / Reynir
Haukar meet Dalvík / Reynir in the 2. Deild regular season - 19.
Haukar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1443. Recent form leans Haukar, 80% against 40%. Attacking output favors Haukar on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Haukar at 71%; double chance reads Haukar or draw 78%, Dalvík / Reynir or draw 46%.
Haukar arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Dalvík / Reynir, W 2-1 @ Kormákur / Hvöt, W 3-1 v Hvíti riddarinn, W 2-1 @ Fjardabyggd / Leiknir.
Dalvík / Reynir are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Haukar, D 1-1 v Magni, L 0-2 @ Thróttur Vogar, D 1-1 v Kári.
Haukar hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Haukar 5-2 Dalvík / Reynir.
The market prices HAU at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Dalvík / Reynir: a 6.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
