Türkiye v USA: the model read
Türkiye meet USA in the World Cup group stage - 3 at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Türkiye, 70% against 60%. Attacking output favors Türkiye on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Türkiye arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v USA, L 0-1 v Paraguay, L 0-2 @ Australia, W 2-1 @ Venezuela.
USA are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Belgium, W 2-0 v Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 2-3 @ Türkiye, W 2-0 v Australia.
Türkiye hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Türkiye 3-2 USA.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
