Where the market is wrong on Wuhan Three Towns II v Shangyu Pterosaur
Wuhan Three Towns II meet Shangyu Pterosaur in the League Two regular season - 22 at Wuhan Sports Centre, Wuhan.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Shangyu Pterosaur, 43% against 33%. Attacking output favors Wuhan Three Towns II on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Wuhan Three Towns II at 54%; double chance reads Wuhan Three Towns II or draw 69%, Shangyu Pterosaur or draw 64%.
Wuhan Three Towns II arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Shangyu Pterosaur, L 0-3 @ Guangdong Mingtu, L 0-2 v Jiangxi Liansheng, W 4-1 @ Guangzhou Dandelion.
Shangyu Pterosaur are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Wuhan Three Towns II, L 1-3 v Guangzhou Dandelion, L 0-6 @ Shenzhen 2028, D 1-1 v Langfang Glory City.
The market prices WUH at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Shangyu Pterosaur: a 12.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
