Qingdao Youth Island v Shandong Luneng

Qingdao Youth Island meet Shandong Luneng in the Super League regular season - 24 at Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center, Qingdao.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Shandong Luneng on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Qingdao Youth Island at 51%; double chance reads Qingdao Youth Island or draw 65%, Shandong Luneng or draw 64%.

Qingdao Youth Island arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 5 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Shandong Luneng, D 0-0 v Chongqing Tongliang Long, D 0-0 @ Henan Jianye, W 2-0 v Qingdao Jonoon.

Shandong Luneng are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Qingdao Youth Island, W 3-1 v Qingdao Jonoon, W 2-1 v Tianjin Teda, W 1-0 @ SHANGHAI SIPG.

Shandong Luneng hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Qingdao Youth Island 2-0 Shandong Luneng.

The market prices QIN at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.