Where the market is wrong on Botafogo SP v Goias
Botafogo SP meet Goias in the Serie B regular season - 28 at Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Goias, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Botafogo SP on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Botafogo SP arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Goias, L 1-3 v Novorizontino, L 0-1 @ Nautico Recife, L 1-2 v Cuiaba.
Goias are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Botafogo SP, L 0-2 @ Vila Nova, L 0-1 v Fortaleza EC, W 2-1 v São Bernardo.
Goias hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Botafogo SP 1-3 Goias.
The market prices BOT at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Goias: a 8.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
