Where the market is wrong on Trans Narva v FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva meet FC Levadia Tallinn in the Meistriliiga regular season - 29 at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva.
FC Levadia Tallinn rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1420. Recent form leans FC Levadia Tallinn, 83% against 38%. Attacking output favors FC Levadia Tallinn on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.6 per match.
Trans Narva arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v FC Levadia Tallinn, L 0-2 @ Kalju Nomme, D 2-2 v Flora Tallinn, L 1-3 @ Kuressaare.
FC Levadia Tallinn are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 17 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Trans Narva, W 6-0 v Tammeka, W 4-0 v Vaprus, W 4-0 v Kuressaare.
FC Levadia Tallinn hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Trans Narva 1-1 FC Levadia Tallinn.
The market prices TRA at 9% implied. Our number sits apart on Trans Narva: a 9.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
