Carolina Core v New England II: the model read
Carolina Core meet New England II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Truist Point, undefined.
New England II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1431. Recent form leans New England II, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors New England II on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Carolina Core arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v New England II, L 2-5 @ Chattanooga, L 1-3 v FC Cincinnati II, W 2-0 v Huntsville City.
New England II are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 9 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Carolina Core, L 1-4 v Huntsville City, L 1-2 @ New York City II, L 2-4 @ Inter Miami II.
Carolina Core hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Carolina Core 2-2 New England II.
The market prices CAR at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
