Where the market is wrong on St. Louis City II v Houston Dynamo FC II
St. Louis City II meet Houston Dynamo FC II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at CITYPARK, undefined.
Houston Dynamo FC II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1454. Recent form leans Houston Dynamo FC II, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Houston Dynamo FC II on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Houston Dynamo FC II at 63%; double chance reads St. Louis City II or draw 55%, Houston Dynamo FC II or draw 74%.
St. Louis City II arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v North Texas, D 2-2 v Houston Dynamo FC II, W 2-0 @ The Town, D 0-0 @ Colorado Rapids II.
Houston Dynamo FC II are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ St. Louis City II, D 1-1 v The Town, L 0-2 v Ventura County, W 3-0 v Real Monarchs.
St. Louis City II hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: St. Louis City II 2-2 Houston Dynamo FC II.
The market prices ST. at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Houston Dynamo FC II: a 13.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output