New York City II v FC Cincinnati II: the model read
New York City II meet FC Cincinnati II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Belson Stadium, undefined.
New York City II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans New York City II, 60% against 30%. Attacking output favors New York City II on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans New York City II at 71%; double chance reads New York City II or draw 78%, FC Cincinnati II or draw 47%.
New York City II arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v New England II, W 5-0 v FC Cincinnati II, L 2-4 @ Columbus Crew II, W 3-0 v Orlando City II.
FC Cincinnati II are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Carolina Core, L 0-5 @ New York City II, L 2-3 v Connecticut FC, L 1-2 @ Philadelphia Union II.
The market prices NEW at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
