Where the market is wrong on Hestrafor v Kongahälla
Hestrafor meet Kongahälla in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland västra götaland - 22.
Hestrafor rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1431. Recent form leans Hestrafor, 65% against 40%. Attacking output favors Hestrafor on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
Hestrafor arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Böljan, W 2-0 v Lindome, W 3-1 v Torslanda, D 2-2 @ Dalstorps.
Kongahälla are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Astrio, W 4-3 @ Landvetter IS, L 1-3 v Galtabacks, L 0-2 @ Åstorp.
Hestrafor hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kongahälla 0-3 Hestrafor.
The market prices HES at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output