Where the market is wrong on Lidköping v Vänersborgs IF
Lidköping meet Vänersborgs IF in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland norra götaland - 22.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lidköping, 40% against 15%. Attacking output favors Lidköping on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Lidköping arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Kumla, W 5-2 v Vänersborgs IF, W 2-1 v Herrestads, W 1-0 @ Grebbestad.
Vänersborgs IF are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Ahlafors, L 2-5 @ Lidköping, L 1-2 v Grebbestad, L 0-5 @ Skara.
Lidköping hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lidköping 5-2 Vänersborgs IF.
The market prices LID at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
