Where the market is wrong on Paju Citizen v Daegu FC
Paju Citizen meet Daegu FC in the K League 2 regular season - 25 at Paju Stadium, Paju.
Daegu FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1420. Recent form leans Daegu FC, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Daegu FC on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.8 per match.
Paju Citizen arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Daegu FC, L 0-1 @ Gyeongnam FC, D 1-1 @ Seoul E-Land FC, W 2-1 v Seongnam FC.
Daegu FC are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Paju Citizen, W 2-1 @ Ansan Greeners, D 1-1 v Busan I Park, W 2-0 v Asan Mugunghwa.
The market prices PAJ at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
