Where the market is wrong on O'Higgins v Union La Calera
O'Higgins meet Union La Calera in the Primera División regular season - 22 at Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 45%. Attacking output favors O'Higgins on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
O'Higgins arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ U. Catolica, W 3-1 @ Recoleta, L 0-1 v Palestino, D 2-2 @ Colo Colo.
Union La Calera are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v D. La Serena, D 0-0 @ A. Italiano, L 1-2 @ Nublense, L 1-2 v Colo Colo.
O'Higgins hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union La Calera 3-3 O'Higgins.
The market prices O'H at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Union La Calera: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
