Nigeria v Mozambique: the model read
Nigeria meet Mozambique in the Africa Cup of Nations round of 16 at Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fez.
Nigeria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1400. Recent form leans Nigeria, 74% against 32%. Attacking output favors Nigeria on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.9 per match.
Nigeria arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Portugal, D 2-2 @ Poland, W 3-0 @ Jamaica, W 2-0 v Zimbabwe.
Mozambique are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Indonesia, L 1-4 @ Oman, L 0-4 @ Nigeria, L 1-2 v Cameroon.
Nigeria hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nigeria 4-0 Mozambique.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
