Where the market is wrong on San Martin Tucuman v Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman meet Club Atlético Güemes in the Primera Nacional regular season - 27 at Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans San Martin Tucuman, 45% against 28%. Attacking output favors San Martin Tucuman on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
San Martin Tucuman arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Club Atlético Güemes, W 2-1 @ Chacarita Juniors, D 2-2 v Deportivo Madryn, D 1-1 v San Martin S.J..
Club Atlético Güemes are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ San Martin Tucuman, D 0-0 v Atletico DE Rafaela, D 0-0 @ Chacarita Juniors, D 1-1 @ Atletico Mitre.
San Martin Tucuman hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: San Martin Tucuman 1-1 Club Atlético Güemes.
The market prices SAN at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Club Atlético Güemes: a 10.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
