Where the market is wrong on CA Estudiantes v Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes meet Ferro Carril Oeste in the Primera Nacional regular season - 27 at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires.
Ferro Carril Oeste rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1535. Recent form leans Ferro Carril Oeste, 75% against 57%. Attacking output favors Ferro Carril Oeste on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
CA Estudiantes arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Ferro Carril Oeste, L 1-2 @ Central Norte, W 2-0 v Chacarita Juniors, L 0-1 v Deportivo Madryn.
Ferro Carril Oeste are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ CA Estudiantes, W 1-0 v All Boys, W 3-1 v Atlanta, W 2-1 @ Los Andes.
The market prices CA at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Ferro Carril Oeste: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
