Where the market is wrong on United Nordic v IFK Varnamo
United Nordic meet IFK Varnamo in the Superettan regular season - 23 at Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, Sodertalje.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans United Nordic, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors United Nordic on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
United Nordic arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Orebro SK, L 2-4 v IFK Varnamo, W 2-1 @ Osters IF, L 1-3 v IFK Norrkoping.
IFK Varnamo are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ United Nordic, D 1-1 v Varbergs BoIS FC, W 1-0 @ Ljungskile SK, D 1-1 v Landskrona BoIS.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: United Nordic 2-4 IFK Varnamo.
The market prices UNI at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
