Where the market is wrong on Viking v Aalesund
Viking meet Aalesund in the Eliteserien regular season - 19 at Lyse Arena, Stavanger.
Viking rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1431. Recent form leans Viking, 83% against 43%. Attacking output favors Viking on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.2 per match.
Viking arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Aalesund, W 3-1 v Dinamo Zagreb, D 2-2 @ Dinamo Zagreb, L 1-2 @ Rosenborg.
Aalesund are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 22 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Viking, W 13-0 @ Langevag, D 5-5 v Valerenga, D 1-1 @ Ham-Kam.
Viking hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Viking 2-1 Aalesund.
The market prices VIK at 75% implied. Our number sits apart on Aalesund: a 12.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
