Where the market is wrong on Vasteras SK FK v Kalmar FF
Vasteras SK FK meet Kalmar FF in the Allsvenskan regular season - 18 at Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Kalmar FF on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Kalmar FF at 56%; double chance reads Vasteras SK FK or draw 60%, Kalmar FF or draw 69%.
Vasteras SK FK arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Kalmar FF, W 2-1 @ Enköping, L 0-3 @ IF Elfsborg, W 1-0 v Djurgardens IF.
Kalmar FF are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Vasteras SK FK, W 7-0 @ Angelholms FF, L 0-4 v Hammarby FF, L 2-3 @ IFK Goteborg.
Vasteras SK FK hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vasteras SK FK 0-0 Kalmar FF.
The market prices VAS at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Kalmar FF: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
