Where the market is wrong on San Antonio v FC Tulsa
San Antonio meet FC Tulsa in the USL Championship group stage at Toyota Field, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 60%. Attacking output favors San Antonio on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
San Antonio arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v FC Tulsa, W 2-1 @ New Mexico United, L 0-1 v Oakland Roots, L 0-3 v El Paso Locomotive.
FC Tulsa are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ San Antonio, W 1-0 v Rhode Island, W 5-1 @ Orange County SC, L 0-1 @ New Mexico United.
The market prices SAN at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Tulsa: a 9.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output