Where the market is wrong on Cork City v UCD
Cork City meet UCD in the First Division regular season - 32 at Turners Cross, Cork.
Cork City rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1512. Recent form leans Cork City, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Cork City on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.9 per match.
Cork City arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Cobh Ramblers, D 1-1 @ Bray Wanderers, W 2-0 v Wexford, D 2-2 @ Treaty United.
UCD are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Athlone Town, D 1-1 @ Cobh Ramblers, W 5-4 v Finn Harps, D 1-1 @ Kerry.
Cork City hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: UCD 5-2 Cork City.
The market prices COR at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on UCD: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
