Where the market is wrong on Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC meet Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer regular season - 28 at Exploria Stadium, Orlando.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Orlando City SC on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.5 per match.
Orlando City SC arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 11 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Philadelphia Union, L 2-4 @ New England Revolution, L 1-2 @ Columbus Crew, W 3-0 v Toronto FC.
Columbus Crew are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Inter Miami, W 2-0 @ CF Montreal, W 2-1 v Orlando City SC, L 0-1 v New York Red Bulls.
Columbus Crew hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Columbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SC.
The market prices ORL at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Columbus Crew: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
