Where the market is wrong on Minnesota United FC v FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC meet FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer regular season - 24 at Allianz Field, Saint Paul.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Dallas, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors FC Dallas on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Minnesota United FC arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Orlando City SC, W 5-1 @ San Jose Earthquakes, L 1-2 v Atlanta United FC, D 1-1 @ Real Salt Lake.
FC Dallas are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ St. Louis City, L 0-5 @ Vancouver Whitecaps, W 4-3 @ Real Salt Lake, W 2-1 @ Austin.
Minnesota United FC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Dallas 0-1 Minnesota United FC.
The market prices MIN at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Dallas: a 9.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
