Where the market is wrong on FC Cincinnati v DC United
FC Cincinnati meet DC United in the Major League Soccer regular season - 23 at TQL Stadium, Cincinnati.
FC Cincinnati rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1432. Recent form leans FC Cincinnati, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors FC Cincinnati on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.4 per match.
FC Cincinnati arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Nashville SC, D 1-1 v Seattle Sounders, W 2-1 v New York City FC, D 1-1 @ Orlando City SC.
DC United are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Los Angeles FC, L 1-3 @ Charlotte, L 0-3 v New England Revolution, D 1-1 @ CF Montreal.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: FC Cincinnati 1-2 DC United.
The market prices FC at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on DC United: a 9.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
