Motril v Mancha Real: the model read
Motril meet Mancha Real in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 group 9 - 25 at Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Motril, 63% against 43%. Attacking output favors Motril on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Motril at 62%; double chance reads Motril or draw 74%, Mancha Real or draw 58%.
Motril arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Arenas Armilla, L 0-1 @ Arenas Armilla, D 0-0 v Churriana Vega, D 1-1 @ Churriana Vega.
Mancha Real are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Alhaurino, L 1-2 v Ciudad de Torredonjimeno, D 2-2 @ Granada II, W 2-1 v Huétor Vega.
Mancha Real hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Motril 3-1 Mancha Real.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
